Monday, August 24th we did a 12-team PPR mock draft for SiriusXM Fantasy Football featuring much of the staff of the site, some SiriusXM staff and a couple of hardcore listeners to the show. It was incredibly competitive and difficult because everyone in the draft really knows their stuff and a lot of us share similar opinions on players. I’ll break things down from a good value/bad value standpoint in terms of where players were selected in this draft in relation to their average draft position as well as our player rankings here on the site.
Note: All ADP data used in this article is courtesy of our partners at the NFFC and the data is used from drafts over the previous week.
This draft was conducted at myfantasyleague.com. The starting lineup requirements were:
1 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, 1 TE, 2 Flex (RB/WR/TE), 1 DT, 1 PK
Pick | Overall | Team | Player |
1.01 | 1 | Lisa Ann | McCaffrey, Christian CAR RB |
1.02 | 2 | Paul Kelly | Barkley, Saquon NYG RB |
1.03 | 3 | Jules McLean | Elliott, Ezekiel DAL RB |
1.04 | 4 | Dr. Edwin Porras | Kamara, Alvin NOS RB |
1.05 | 5 | John Hansen | Edwards-Helaire, Clyde KCC RB |
1.06 | 6 | Matt in LA | Sanders, Miles PHI RB |
1.07 | 7 | Tim Riordan | Mixon, Joe CIN RB |
1.08 | 8 | Tom Brolley | Henry, Derrick TEN RB |
1.09 | 9 | Chris from NY | Cook, Dalvin MIN RB |
1.1 | 10 | Joe Dolan | Thomas, Michael NOS WR |
1.11 | 11 | Graham Barfield | Adams, Davante GBP WR |
1.12 | 12 | Scott Barrett | Drake, Kenyan ARI RB |
Analysis: The first nine picks were all backs and only two of the twelve first-round picks were spent on receivers which is fairly typical.
Good Value: Michael Thomas. Dolan was probably surprised to see Thomas on the board at 1.10 and while we don’t think he’ll catch another 149 balls this year, he should still be the first WR off the board and he usually goes a few picks earlier. It’s my contention that Thomas should NOT be a consideration unless he falls to you late in the first as he did here. If you’re picking in the top half of the first round and you don’t take a back, good luck finding one you like who is a value late in the second round.
Bad Value: None of note, but I’ll mention Hansen’s pick of Edwards-Helaire here simply because the #5 position seems to be the toughest spot in the first round to draft from. I’ve already outlined why I don’t believe Thomas should be a consideration at five and there doesn’t seem to be a clear cut consensus back to take there. An argument can be made for Cook, Henry, Mixon, Edwards-Helaire, or Sanders at that spot. John loves his young, ascending upside players and Edwards-Helaire could be a monster.
Pick | Overall | Team | Player |
2.01 | 13 | Scott Barrett | Hill, Tyreek KCC WR (Q) |
2.02 | 14 | Graham Barfield | Ekeler, Austin LAC RB |
2.03 | 15 | Joe Dolan | Jacobs, Josh LVR RB |
2.04 | 16 | Chris from NY | Jones, Julio ATL WR |
2.05 | 17 | Tom Brolley | Kelce, Travis KCC TE |
2.06 | 18 | Tim Riordan | Jones, Aaron GBP RB |
2.07 | 19 | Matt in LA | Chubb, Nick CLE RB |
2.08 | 20 | John Hansen | Godwin, Chris TBB WR |
2.09 | 21 | Dr. Edwin Porras | Hopkins, DeAndre ARI WR |
2.1 | 22 | Jules McLean | Kittle, George SFO TE |
2.11 | 23 | Paul Kelly | Robinson, Allen CHI WR |
2.12 | 24 | Lisa Ann | Mahomes, Patrick KCC QB |
Analysis: Our second round held no major surprises and was fairly consistent with ADP.
Good Value: Per the ADP, Patrick Mahomes was the biggest value going four picks after his ADP (20). QBs tend to slide in these expert drafts so it wasn’t surprising to see him last until pick 24.
Bad Value: None really but Travis Kelce was taken six spots ahead of his ADP (23). My guess is Brolley felt the advantage Kelce gives him at TE outweighs the price he might pay at one of the other skill positions later on.
Pick | Overall | Team | Player |
3.01 | 25 | Lisa Ann | Bell, Le'Veon NYJ RB |
3.02 | 26 | Paul Kelly | Gordon, Melvin DEN RB |
3.03 | 27 | Jules McLean | Conner, James PIT RB |
3.04 | 28 | Dr. Edwin Porras | Evans, Mike TBB WR |
3.05 | 29 | John Hansen | Taylor, Jonathan IND RB |
3.06 | 30 | Matt in LA | Thielen, Adam MIN WR |
3.07 | 31 | Tim Riordan | Beckham, Odell CLE WR |
3.08 | 32 | Tom Brolley | Carson, Chris SEA RB (Q) |
3.09 | 33 | Chris from NY | Golladay, Kenny DET WR |
3.1 | 34 | Joe Dolan | Smith-Schuster, JuJu PIT WR |
3.11 | 35 | Graham Barfield | Cooper, Amari DAL WR |
3.12 | 36 | Scott Barrett | Moore, D.J. CAR WR |
Analysis: Five of the first eight picks were RBs which is typical. Keep that in mind if you’re drafting late in round one. It’s a good idea to come away with two backs with your first two picks because the WRs available in the late third / early fourth seem to present more value than the backs in that range.
Good Value: Kenny Golladay went eight picks after his ADP (25). He’s typically the seventh WR off the board but he was the 11th taken in this draft which is exactly where we have him ranked on the site.
Bad Value: Le’Veon Bell went 10 spots earlier than his ADP (35). All reports are that Bell is in the best shape of his life but I’m scared off by the fact that the all five Jets offensive lineman have never played together before. Our guy Manish Mehta from the New York Daily News told John and me on the radio this week that he expects Frank Gore to be in the 8-10 carry per week range which would cut into Bell’s touches.
Pick | Overall | Team | Player |
4.01 | 37 | Scott Barrett | Andrews, Mark BAL TE |
4.02 | 38 | Graham Barfield | Woods, Robert LAR WR |
4.03 | 39 | Joe Dolan | Ridley, Calvin ATL WR |
4.04 | 40 | Chris from NY | Akers, Cam LAR RB |
4.05 | 41 | Tom Brolley | Chark, D.J. JAC WR |
4.06 | 42 | Tim Riordan | Fournette, Leonard JAC RB |
4.07 | 43 | Matt in LA | Ingram, Mark BAL RB |
4.08 | 44 | John Hansen | Brown, Marquise BAL WR |
4.09 | 45 | Dr. Edwin Porras | Montgomery, David CHI RB |
4.1 | 46 | Jules McLean | Brown, A.J. TEN WR |
4.11 | 47 | Paul Kelly | Jackson, Lamar BAL QB |
4.12 | 48 | Lisa Ann | Kupp, Cooper LAR WR |
Analysis: We saw a high-end QB, a high-end TE and the best of the remaining backs and receivers go off the board here.
Good Value: You probably know most of us on the site are not big on Leonard Fournette this year but at some point everyone becomes a value and Riordan got Fournette 10 spots later than his ADP. His potential downside is more palatable as a fourth-rounder and as a third RB as he was here for Tim. Lamar Jackson is also a huge value in this round a whopping 25 picks after his ADP. I am a staunch believer in waiting on a QB but Jackson was too much of a value here to pass up. Total disclosure – I should have taken him in the fifth round instead of here in the fourth as Lisa Ann had already drafted Mahomes and would not have taken Jackson. I’ll chalk that mistake up to hosting our draft broadcast on SiriusXM Fantasy Football and drafting at the same time.
Bad Value: Mark Ingram’s ADP is 60 so he’s usually going on that fifth/sixth-round turn which makes him a reach here in the fourth. He certainly could return value at that spot if he maintains the role he had last season for all of 2020 but he likely could have been available a round later.
Pick | Overall | Team | Player |
5.01 | 49 | Lisa Ann | Gallup, Michael DAL WR |
5.02 | 50 | Paul Kelly | Metcalf, DK SEA WR |
5.03 | 51 | Jules McLean | McLaurin, Terry WAS WR |
5.04 | 52 | Dr. Edwin Porras | Murray, Kyler ARI QB |
5.05 | 53 | John Hansen | Hunt, Kareem CLE RB |
5.06 | 54 | Matt in LA | Sutton, Courtland DEN WR |
5.07 | 55 | Tim Riordan | Hilton, T.Y. IND WR |
5.08 | 56 | Tom Brolley | Lockett, Tyler SEA WR |
5.09 | 57 | Chris from NY | Ertz, Zach PHI TE |
5.1 | 58 | Joe Dolan | Swift, D'Andre DET RB |
5.11 | 59 | Graham Barfield | Fuller, Will HOU WR |
5.12 | 60 | Scott Barrett | Jones, Ronald TBB RB |
Analysis: Murray is usually the third or fourth QB selected and he was the third one taken in this draft. Murray and Dak Prescott are usually off the board within a few picks of each other but Dak didn’t get selected until a round later in this draft.
Good Value: Courtland Sutton has reportedly been outstanding in camp so far and is typically being taken on the round four/five turn so Matt grabbed himself a nice value a half a round beyond Sutton’s ADP. It’s looking like Sutton is the clear #1 target in the Denver passing game to start the season. He’s our WR21 but Matt got him as WR24.
Bad Value: We have Michael Gallup ranked as our WR35 and his ADP is 69 so he appears to be a big reach here as WR21 at pick #49. I prefer all the receivers taken in this round to Gallup.
Pick | Overall | Team | Player |
6.01 | 61 | Scott Barrett | Johnson, Diontae PIT WR |
6.02 | 62 | Graham Barfield | Boyd, Tyler CIN WR |
6.03 | 63 | Joe Dolan | Parker, DeVante MIA WR |
6.04 | 64 | Chris from NY | Prescott, Dak DAL QB |
6.05 | 65 | Tom Brolley | Johnson, David HOU RB |
6.06 | 66 | Tim Riordan | Gurley, Todd ATL RB |
6.07 | 67 | Matt in LA | Allen, Keenan LAC WR |
6.08 | 68 | John Hansen | Diggs, Stefon BUF WR |
6.09 | 69 | Dr. Edwin Porras | Landry, Jarvis CLE WR |
6.1 | 70 | Jules McLean | Jones, Marvin DET WR |
6.11 | 71 | Paul Kelly | Green, A.J. CIN WR |
6.12 | 72 | Lisa Ann | Dobbins, J.K. BAL RB |
Analysis: There are typically five or six QBs selected through the first six rounds of a 12-team draft but only four were selected so far in this one. Since there are two flex positions required in our starting lineups, many drafters are looking to wait on the QB.
Good Value: Todd Gurley was drafted 33 spots after his ADP (33). If Gurley can make it through the season healthy and handle the 15+ touches per game OC Dirk Koetter said he’d be getting, Riordan likely got himself a steal here in the sixth. I’m out on Gurley as a third-rounder because of the questions surrounding his knee, but in the sixth round, he’s worth a gamble. Same thing goes for David Johnson who we have serious doubts about but he was available here a full two rounds after his ADP which makes the risk much more palatable.
Bad Value: It wasn’t surprising to see Dionte Johnson go here in the sixth round even though his ADP makes him a seventh-rounder (and technically a “bad value”). We’re higher on him than most and this draft is packed with our people so Barrett knew Johnson would not have made it back to him 23 picks later.
Pick | Overall | Team | Player |
7.01 | 73 | Lisa Ann | Hooper, Austin CLE TE |
7.02 | 74 | Paul Kelly | Singletary, Devin BUF RB |
7.03 | 75 | Jules McLean | Reagor, Jalen PHI WR |
7.04 | 76 | Dr. Edwin Porras | Hurst, Hayden ATL TE |
7.05 | 77 | John Hansen | Cohen, Tarik CHI RB |
7.06 | 78 | Matt in LA | Wilson, Russell SEA QB |
7.07 | 79 | Tim Riordan | Watson, Deshaun HOU QB |
7.08 | 80 | Tom Brolley | Cooks, Brandin HOU WR |
7.09 | 81 | Chris from NY | White, James NEP RB |
7.1 | 82 | Joe Dolan | Mostert, Raheem SFO RB |
7.11 | 83 | Graham Barfield | Waller, Darren LVR TE |
7.12 | 84 | Scott Barrett | Gibson, Antonio WAS RB |
Analysis: This league requires eight starting skill position players so it’s not surprising to see that only half our drafters have taken a QB through seven rounds.
Good Value: Raheem Mostert and Devin Singletary. Mostert’s ADP is 55 and Singletary’s is 57. Mostert has reportedly been the best runner in 49ers camp so far and looks like a strong bet to be their lead back. I don’t love Singletary this year but I thought he presented too much value as a seventh-rounder to pass him up.
Bad Value: Austin Hooper was last year’s TE3 in PPR fantasy points per game but his fantasy value took a hit going from Atlanta to Cleveland. We have him ranked as our TE16 on the site and his ADP is 129 making him a monster reach here at pick #73 as TE5.
Pick | Overall | Team | Player |
8.01 | 85 | Scott Barrett | Howard, Jordan MIA RB |
8.02 | 86 | Graham Barfield | Moss, Zack BUF RB |
8.03 | 87 | Joe Dolan | Allen, Josh BUF QB |
8.04 | 88 | Chris from NY | Slayton, Darius NYG WR |
8.05 | 89 | Tom Brolley | Edelman, Julian NEP WR |
8.06 | 90 | Tim Riordan | Tate, Golden NYG WR |
8.07 | 91 | Matt in LA | Engram, Evan NYG TE |
8.08 | 92 | John Hansen | Pittman, Michael IND WR |
8.09 | 93 | Dr. Edwin Porras | Mattison, Alexander MIN RB |
8.1 | 94 | Jules McLean | Higbee, Tyler LAR TE |
8.11 | 95 | Paul Kelly | Crowder, Jamison NYJ WR |
8.12 | 96 | Lisa Ann | Jeudy, Jerry DEN WR |
Analysis: Three Giants were selected in this round as were three vastly different running backs. A veteran early-down grinder (Howard), a rookie who could make an impact (Moss), and a handcuff (Mattison). Mattison is an expensive handcuff that the Cook owner in this draft missed out on. It’s something to consider when deciding whether or not to draft Dalvin Cook in the first round.
Good Value: None of note.
Bad Value: Hansen selected Michael Pittman 52 spots earlier than his ADP. In John’s defense, he knows that most of us in this draft love Pittman this year as a value and he wouldn’t have a prayer of getting him anywhere near his 144 ADP. We have Pittman ranked as our WR43 and John took him at WR41. Riordan’s selection of Tate was also 52 spots earlier than his ADP.
Pick | Overall | Team | Player |
9.01 | 97 | Lisa Ann | Edmonds, Chase ARI RB |
9.02 | 98 | Paul Kelly | Henry, Hunter LAC TE |
9.03 | 99 | Jules McLean | Johnson, Duke HOU RB |
9.04 | 100 | Dr. Edwin Porras | Jackson, DeSean PHI WR |
9.05 | 101 | John Hansen | Wentz, Carson PHI QB |
9.06 | 102 | Matt in LA | Mack, Marlon IND RB |
9.07 | 103 | Tim Riordan | Cook, Jared NOS TE |
9.08 | 104 | Tom Brolley | Perriman, Breshad NYJ WR |
9.09 | 105 | Chris from NY | Lindsay, Phillip DEN RB |
9.1 | 106 | Joe Dolan | Harris, Damien NEP RB |
9.11 | 107 | Graham Barfield | Breida, Matt MIA RB |
9.12 | 108 | Scott Barrett | Williams, Preston MIA WR |
Analysis: More than 100 picks in and we finally saw our eighth QB selected. There are usually 10 gone by this point. Again, the larger starting lineups put more of an emphasis on grabbing skill position players.
Good Value: We’re not overly excited about Marlon Mack but he will have a role for the Colts even with the addition of Jonathan Taylor. It’s been reported that he’s been catching lots of dump-offs from Checkdown Charlie Philip Rivers. He was a pretty good receiver coming out of college but he hasn’t been asked to do much pass-catching so far in Indy. His ADP shows him coming off the board about a round earlier so I’ll sign off on him here in the ninth round.
Bad Value: DeSean Jackson is reportedly in great shape and as fast as ever so he’ll have some big games this year assuming he can stay on the field. That’s a big assumption to make though as Jackson has missed 27 games over the last five seasons and has managed to suit up for 14 or more games in just two of those five seasons. Dr. Porras took him a full three rounds earlier than his ADP.
Pick | Overall | Team | Player |
10.01 | 109 | Scott Barrett | Brown, Antonio FA* WR |
10.02 | 110 | Graham Barfield | Coleman, Tevin SFO RB |
10.03 | 111 | Joe Dolan | Gronkowski, Rob TBB TE |
10.04 | 112 | Chris from NY | Samuel, Deebo SFO WR |
10.05 | 113 | Tom Brolley | Murray, Latavius NOS RB |
10.06 | 114 | Tim Riordan | Lamb, CeeDee DAL WR |
10.07 | 115 | Matt in LA | Sanders, Emmanuel NOS WR |
10.08 | 116 | John Hansen | Ruggs, Henry LVR WR |
10.09 | 117 | Dr. Edwin Porras | Pollard, Tony DAL RB |
10.1 | 118 | Jules McLean | Hines, Nyheim IND RB |
10.11 | 119 | Paul Kelly | Peterson, Adrian WAS RB |
10.12 | 120 | Lisa Ann | Love, Bryce WAS R |
Analysis: There were still some nice WR values on the board 110+ picks into this draft who could be fantasy starters, especially in a league like this where we start three receivers and two flexes.
Good Value: Deebo Samuel’s Week One status is still up in the air (I’d bet he sits), but he seems to be trending in the right direction based on recent reports. Even if he misses a few games, getting him at this late juncture represents a huge discount.
Bad Value: Brown’s ADP is over 200 so technically he is a reach in the tenth round but if he ends up catching on with a team early in the year he’ll be a fantasy starter who could potentially make a huge impact for fantasy…and there aren’t many guys we can say that about at this point in drafts.
Pick | Overall | Team | Player |
11.01 | 121 | Lisa Ann | Gore, Frank NYJ RB |
11.02 | 122 | Paul Kelly | Jefferson, Justin MIN WR |
11.03 | 123 | Jules McLean | Brady, Tom TBB QB |
11.04 | 124 | Dr. Edwin Porras | Kirk, Christian ARI WR |
11.05 | 125 | John Hansen | Fant, Noah DEN TE |
11.06 | 126 | Matt in LA | Scott, Boston PHI RB |
11.07 | 127 | Tim Riordan | Michel, Sony NEP RB |
11.08 | 128 | Tom Brolley | Williams, Mike LAC WR |
11.09 | 129 | Chris from NY | Vaughn, Ke'Shawn TBB RB |
11.1 | 130 | Joe Dolan | Hardman, Mecole KCC WR |
11.11 | 131 | Graham Barfield | Ryan, Matt ATL QB |
11.12 | 132 | Scott Barrett | Brees, Drew NOS QB |
Analysis: Three future Hall of Fame QBs were taken in this round as QB9, QB10 and QB11 demonstrating that there’s plenty of fine options available if you don’t address QB early in drafts.
Good Value: Christian Kirk lasted almost three rounds beyond his ADP (92). I’ll note that we’re not as high on Kirk as the fantasy community at large as his ADP shows him going as the 40th receiver off the board but we have him ranked as WR55.
Bad Value: I’m no Gore-a-phobe but Frank Gore typically goes undrafted. Lisa took him here as a Bell handcuff but even if Bell missed time, I’d be hard-pressed to get too excited about using the 37-year old Gore in a fantasy lineup.
Pick | Overall | Team | Player |
12.01 | 133 | Scott Barrett | Aiyuk, Brandon SFO WR |
12.02 | 134 | Graham Barfield | Henderson, Darrell LAR RB |
12.03 | 135 | Joe Dolan | Hockenson, T.J. DET TE |
12.04 | 136 | Chris from NY | Armstead, Ryquell JAC RB |
12.05 | 137 | Tom Brolley | Stafford, Matthew DET QB |
12.06 | 138 | Tim Riordan | Dillon, AJ GBP RB |
12.07 | 139 | Matt in LA | Shepard, Sterling NYG WR |
12.08 | 140 | John Hansen | Herndon, Chris NYJ TE |
12.09 | 141 | Dr. Edwin Porras | Campbell, Parris IND WR |
12.1 | 142 | Jules McLean | Harry, N'Keal NEP WR |
12.11 | 143 | Paul Kelly | Sims, Steven WAS WR |
12.12 | 144 | Lisa Ann | Cobb, Randall HOU WR |
Analysis: Brolley wins the game of QB chicken as he’s the last drafter to pick his starting QB.
Good Value: Matthew Stafford lasted a couple rounds longer than usual making him a value here in the twelfth. He’s ranked as our QB13 but he’s projected to score just 0.8 fantasy points per game fewer than our QB8, Carson Wentz, who was drafted three rounds earlier.
Bad Value: I reached and took Steven Sims about 50 picks before his ADP. Drafting against this sharp group and knowing that many of them believe (as I do) that Sims is one of the better values in the entire draft made me want to get him early before he disappeared from my draft queue.
Pick | Overall | Team | Player |
13.01 | 145 | Lisa Ann | Howard, O.J. TBB TE |
13.02 | 146 | Paul Kelly | Kelley, Joshua LAC RB |
13.03 | 147 | Jules McLean | Bernard, Giovani CIN RB |
13.04 | 148 | Dr. Edwin Porras | Johnson, Kerryon DET RB |
13.05 | 149 | John Hansen | Miller, Anthony CHI WR |
13.06 | 150 | Matt in LA | Jones, Daniel NYG QB |
13.07 | 151 | Tim Riordan | Samuel, Curtis CAR WR |
13.08 | 152 | Tom Brolley | Washington, DeAndre KCC RB |
13.09 | 153 | Chris from NY | Goedert, Dallas PHI TE |
13.1 | 154 | Joe Dolan | Jackson, Justin LAC RB |
13.11 | 155 | Graham Barfield | Brown, John BUF WR |
13.12 | 156 | Scott Barrett | Anderson, Robby CAR WR |
Analysis: We’re firmly into backup territory here with three handcuff backs being selected (Johnson, Bernard, Washington)
Good Value: Daniel Jones is ranked as our QB11 but he was taken as QB13 in this draft about 40 picks after his ADP (116). He could potentially be the best QB value in this draft. The Guru’s Miller pick looks pretty sweet here as well a good two rounds after his ADP as does Barfield’s Brown pick.
Bad Value: None of note.
Pick | Overall | Team | Player |
14.01 | 157 | Scott Barrett | Lazard, Allen GBP WR |
14.02 | 158 | Graham Barfield | Jarwin, Blake DAL TE |
14.03 | 159 | Joe Dolan | Tate, Auden CIN WR |
14.04 | 160 | Chris from NY | Evans, Darrynton TEN RB |
14.05 | 161 | Tom Brolley | Burrow, Joe CIN QB |
14.06 | 162 | Tim Riordan | Sternberger, Jace GBP TE |
14.07 | 163 | Matt in LA | Gage, Russell ATL WR |
14.08 | 164 | John Hansen | McKinnon, Jerick SFO RB |
14.09 | 165 | Dr. Edwin Porras | Smith Jr., Irv MIN TE |
14.1 | 166 | Jules McLean | Newton, Cam NEP QB |
14.11 | 167 | Paul Kelly | Tucker, Justin BAL PK |
14.12 | 168 | Lisa Ann | Mayfield, Baker CLE QB |
Analysis: This was a strong round for upside guys, which is no surprise considering who is doing the drafting. Almost every player taken here in the 14th fits what you should be looking for late in drafts. Young, ascending upside players who have a shot to break out.
Good Value: I really like McLean’s Cam Newton pick here. You may look at our projections/rankings and see Cam as QB19 but baked into that season-long ranking is the likelihood Cam may not start all 16 games. Sort our QB rankings by fantasy points per game and you’ll see Cam at QB9. In other words, if he’s the Patriots starter he’s a fantasy starter.
Bad Value: Auden Tate typically goes undrafted but he has been receiving glowing reports from camp so far. A.J. Green, John Ross and Tee Higgins have all missed time this summer and Tate has been flashing and making the most of his chances. We’ll see where he lands on this Cincy WR depth chart when Week One rolls around.
Pick | Overall | Team | Player |
15.01 | 169 | Lisa Ann | Miller, Scott TBB WR |
15.02 | 170 | Paul Kelly | Gesicki, Mike MIA TE |
15.03 | 171 | Jules McLean | McFarland, Anthony PIT RB |
15.04 | 172 | Dr. Edwin Porras | Butker, Harrison KCC PK |
15.05 | 173 | John Hansen | Steelers, Pittsburgh PIT Def |
15.06 | 174 | Matt in LA | Knox, Dawson BUF TE |
15.07 | 175 | Tim Riordan | Smith, Ito ATL RB |
15.08 | 176 | Tom Brolley | Reynolds, Josh LAR WR |
15.09 | 177 | Chris from NY | Gay, Matt TBB PK |
15.1 | 178 | Joe Dolan | Ravens, Baltimore BAL Def |
15.11 | 179 | Graham Barfield | Shenault, Laviska JAC WR |
15.12 | 180 | Scott Barrett | Sanu, Mohamed NEP WR |
Analysis: We’re at the point now when some drafters are seeing more value in taking a high-end kicker or defense than in taking another deep backup.
Good Value: I was surprised to see Mike Gesicki on the board this late. I got him as TE 21 at pick 170 compared to his ADP of TE10 and pick 114. There’s not a ton to count on this year in the Dolphins passing game and he definitely started to emerge late last year. I got him as my second TE which I’m very pleased with.
Bad Value: None of note.
Pick | Overall | Team | Player |
16.01 | 181 | Scott Barrett | Smith, Jonnu TEN TE |
16.02 | 182 | Graham Barfield | Hyde, Carlos SEA RB |
16.03 | 183 | Joe Dolan | Lutz, Wil NOS PK |
16.04 | 184 | Chris from NY | Beasley, Cole BUF WR |
16.05 | 185 | Tom Brolley | Thomas, Ian CAR TE |
16.06 | 186 | Tim Riordan | 49ers, San Francisco SFO Def |
16.07 | 187 | Matt in LA | Buccaneers, Tampa Bay TBB Def |
16.08 | 188 | John Hansen | Freeman, Devonta FA* RB |
16.09 | 189 | Dr. Edwin Porras | Chargers, Los Angeles LAC Def |
16.1 | 190 | Jules McLean | Gould, Robbie SFO PK |
16.11 | 191 | Paul Kelly | Goff, Jared LAR QB |
16.12 | 192 | Lisa Ann | Edwards, Gus BAL RB |
Analysis: Even at 180+ picks into this draft there are still interesting players that are worth a dart throw.
Good Value: Devonta Freeman is unsigned but worth a shot this late. If he gets signed at some point it will likely be because whatever team signs him probably had an injury to their starting back and needs a pro to step in and eat up some touches. Freeman has reportedly been picky (which may be why he’s still a free agent) so if he does land someplace it could be a fantasy-friendly situation (on the low end). Carlos Hyde, a 1000-yard rusher last year, could be an early-season Chris Carson injury away from being a 15-18 touch per week back in Seattle.
Bad Value: None of note.
Pick | Overall | Team | Player |
17.01 | 193 | Lisa Ann | Bills, Buffalo BUF Def |
17.02 | 194 | Paul Kelly | Watkins, Sammy KCC WR |
17.03 | 195 | Jules McLean | Saints, New Orleans NOS Def |
17.04 | 196 | Dr. Edwin Porras | Doyle, Jack IND TE |
17.05 | 197 | John Hansen | Zuerlein, Greg DAL PK |
17.06 | 198 | Matt in LA | Snell, Benny PIT RB |
17.07 | 199 | Tim Riordan | Elliott, Jake PHI PK |
17.08 | 200 | Tom Brolley | Patriots, New England NEP Def |
17.09 | 201 | Chris from NY | McCoy, LeSean TBB RB |
17.1 | 202 | Joe Dolan | Roethlisberger, Ben PIT QB |
17.11 | 203 | Graham Barfield | Koo, Younghoe ATL PK |
17.12 | 204 | Scott Barrett | Fairbairn, Ka'imi HOU PK |
Analysis: Just two rounds to go so it’s time to make sure you’ve got a kicker and a defense in your draft queue if you haven’t already filled those spots.
Good Value: It’s been a strange six months since the Super Bowl for Sammy Watkins but he’s still a starter catching passes from the best fantasy passer in the NFL. I’m by no means “all in” on Sammy but taking him 50 picks past his ADP (144) as the 74th receiver off the board is a no-brainer to me as my team’s seventh WR.
Bad Value: None of note.
Pick | Overall | Team | Player |
18.01 | 205 | Scott Barrett | Chiefs, Kansas City KCC Def |
18.02 | 206 | Graham Barfield | Colts, Indianapolis IND Def |
18.03 | 207 | Joe Dolan | Ogunbowale, Dare TBB RB |
18.04 | 208 | Chris from NY | Vikings, Minnesota MIN |
18.05 | 209 | Tom Brolley | Gonzalez, Zane ARI PK |
18.06 | 210 | Tim Riordan | Higgins, Tee CIN WR |
18.07 | 211 | Matt in LA | McManus, Brandon DEN PK |
18.08 | 212 | John Hansen | Tannehill, Ryan TEN QB |
18.09 | 213 | Dr. Edwin Porras | Rodgers, Aaron GBP QB |
18.1 | 214 | Jules McLean | Boykin, Miles BAL WR |
18.11 | 215 | Paul Kelly | Bears, Chicago CHI Def |
18.12 | 216 | Lisa Ann | Prater, Matt DET PK |
Analysis: Only 20 QBs were drafted in this 12-teamer showing that it’s not imperative that you grab a backup. Some draftable QB2’s available on the wire in this league include Garropolo, Minshew and Cousins.
Good Value: Ryan Tannehill was a fantasy starter in 2019 and while we know he’ll have trouble duplicating his lofty TD% and YPA numbers in 2020, we do have him ranked as our QB16 and the Guru got him about 50 picks beyond his ADP.
Bad Value: None of note.
PK’s Starters
QB L. Jackson
RB Barkley, Gordon
WR Robinson, Metcalf, Green
TE Henry
Flex Singletary, Crowder
K Tucker
DT Chicago
Notes:
All 12 teams came out of the first two rounds with at least one running back. Just two teams went RB-RB with their first two picks. Seven of our 12 teams grabbed backs with two of their first three picks. We’ve been preaching it here on the site and on SiriusXM Fantasy Football Morning…Get into the running back business early this year.
My Barkley pick at 1.02 was a no-brainer and I knew that coming back around in the late second I’d be looking to grab either Kelce or Kittle (both were gone) or the best WR on the board because the backs typically available at #23 overall do not present any value.
The first major decision I had to make was at 3.02. I considered drafting Adam Thielen there (who I love this year, especially in a full-point PPR league like this one) but I knew if I did I would be taking a big chance that I’d be unable to get an RB2 I was happy with at 4.11. I decided on drafting Gordon in the third and that turned out to be the right call because the backs with which I would have been satisfied with my fourth-round pick were all gone by the time I was on the clock.
I’ve got a top-2 QB, a top-2 RB and no obvious weaknesses in my starting lineup. My bench is a nice combination of young ascending players (Kelley, Jefferson, Gesicki, Sims) and veterans I can likely plug in as spot starters if needed (Goff, Peterson, Watkins). I feel like I got strong value for my picks and overall this looks like a well-rounded team that I’d be happy to go into the season with.