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These props continue to be a real challenge this year, as has DFS, but I am still over .500 and hoping to get on a roll. I’d say I’m due for a strong showing this week after two weeks around .500.
Last week’s record: 7-8
Season record: 65-63
Antonio Gibson (Was, at Det) OVER 45.5 rushing yards on FanDuel and DK– The Football Team are road underdogs, but the Lions run defense has been trash this year, and they are giving up fourth-most fantasy points per game to RBs in the running game only, and they give up 4.6 YPC to RBs with 122 rushing yards given up the last four weeks. I think they come out with Gibson and try to run it, and I don’t think the Lions will run away on the scoreboard.
AJ Green (Cin, at Pit) OVER 53.5 receiving yards on DK – Yes, the Bengals do have major OL issues, but Joe Burrow has been hanging in there well even with those issues. I’m not worried much about the Steeler CBs.
Jarvis Landry (Cle, vs. Hou) OVER 49.5 receiving yards on DK – The weather is not good, but that’s less of an issue for Landry, who Landry saw a season-high 44% of the targets (11) in his first game without Odell Beckham in Week 8. Since he lines up often in the slot, he won’t see a ton of Bradley Roby, their top corner and Rashard Higgins will, so it’s a Landry game.
Jarvis Landry (Cle, vs. Hou) OVER 3.5 receptions on BETMGM – I’m all in on Landry with these lower totals, since he saw 11 targets in their last game, and a season-high 44% target share without OBJ.
Christian Kirk (Ari, vs Buf) OVER 50.5 receiving yards on FanDuel – Well, I keep listing him here and he keeps going off, so I’m back to the well. I do think DeAndre Hopkins as the boundary receiver will see a lot more of Tre'Davious White, and the Bills are down starting CB Levi Wallace as well as Josh Norman, so they are thin.
Emmanuel Sanders (NO, vs. SF) OVER 40.5 receiving yards on DK – 49ers slot corner K’Waun Williams is out, and Sanders lines up in the slot plenty, so I like him today with tougher matchups for Alvin Kamara and Jared Cook.
John Brown (Buf, at Ari) OVER 45.5 receiving yards on William Hill – It’s a revenge game! But more importantly, the Cards play a lot of man-to-man, so the Bills will likely take some shots to Brown, who looked great last week.
Josh Allen (Buf, at Ari) OVER 33.5 rushing yards on DK – They play a lot of man-to-man, which opens them up to giving up rushing production. With Kyler Murray on the other side, he should run.
Robert Woods (LAR, vs. Sea) OVER 59.5 receiving yards on DK – I love Cooper Kupp today as well, but he does have a wrist injury. Seattle is down its top TWO corners, and they should have to throw it 40+ times, so this one looks easy.
{{Mike Evans|WR|TB} (TB, at Car ) OVER 51.5 receiving yards on DK – I loved Evans in Week 2 in this matchup and he went for 100+ yards, and there’s an edict handed down to get him the ball, so he can get this on 1-2 catches.
Also:
DJ Chark (Jax, at GB) OVER 4.5 receptions on DK
Miles Sanders (Phi, at NYG) OVER 4.5 receptions on DK
Evan Engram (NYG, vs Phi) OVER 3.5 receptions on DK
Keenan Allen (LAC, at Mia) OVER 53.5 receiving yards on DK
DeVante Parker (Mia, vs LAC) OVER 4.5 receptions on DK
