It’s playoff time! Hopefully you’re in a position to take down plenty of leagues over the next three weeks. As Joe likes to say… it’s nut cutting time. Here are some of the key stats you need to know to make your lineups decisions ahead of Week 14:
Arizona Cardinals
Is Kyler Murray’s shoulder hurting him more than we know? Over the last two weeks, Murray’s average depth of throw is just 6.9 yards downfield (26th-of-33 QBs).
In Week 1-11, Murray’s aDOT was 8.5 yards (16th-of-37 QBs).
After averaging 9.2 carries and 61.9 yards per game in his first 10 games, Murray has rushed just 10 times for 46 yards over the last two weeks.
Kenyan Drake has handled at least two carries inside of the 10-yard line in eight-straight games.
Atlanta Falcons
Todd Gurley played a season-low 22 snaps this past week.
Over his last six games, Gurley has turned his 96 carries into 251 yards (2.6 YPC).
Calvin Ridley has now gone over 90 yards or scored a touchdown in 9-of-11 games.
Julio Jones is averaging 17.7 fantasy points per game in the seven games he’s played fully and not left early. For reference, Stefon Diggs is the WR7 in FPG (18.1).
Baltimore Ravens (Playing Tuesday Night)
Buffalo Bills
In the four games that John Brown has missed, Cole Beasley has gone for 6/53, 11/112, 2/25, and 9/130/1.
Beasley is getting 8.3 targets/game without Brown in the lineup (and 6.1 with him).
Stefon Diggs is averaging 11.8 targets per game without Brown and 9.4 targets/game with Brown in the lineup.
Zack Moss played on a season-low 11 snaps this past week.
Carolina Panthers (Bye Last Week)
Chicago Bears
David Montgomery has finished as the weekly RB6 and RB1 over his last two games.
Over his next three games, Montgomery faces the Texans (second-most rushing yards per game allowed), Vikings (fourth-most), and Jaguars (third-most).
The Bears offense has been much better with Mitch Trubisky than Nick Foles. According to SIS, Chicago is averaging 0.19 more expected points per play with Trubisky under center.
Trubisky is pushing the ball deeper downfield than Foles did in his starts. Trubisky’s average depth of throw is 8.8 yards while Foles’ aDOT is 7.8.
Cincinnati Bengals
The Bengals have averaged 3.6 yards per play over the last two weeks, worst in the league.
They have run just 95 plays in this span, which is also the worst in the league.
Cleveland Browns
Nick Chubb’s weekly finishes in his seven full games: RB44 > RB4 > RB8 > RB11 > RB22 > RB4 > RB11.
Kareem Hunt’s finishes in these games with Chubb: RB24 > RB7 > RB23 > RB13 > RB32 > RB39 > RB27.
Chubb has seen at least 18 carries in six-straight full games.
Chubb has forced 24 missed tackles on his 76 carries since returning from injury four weeks ago, which leads all RBs by a mile.
Jarvis Landry has seen 28% of the team’s targets since OBJ was lost for the season.
Dallas Cowboys (Playing Tuesday Night)
Denver Broncos
Drew Lock has been on-target on just 68.4% of his throws, which is the second-lowest rate in the league per SIS.
Only Carson Wentz (67.8%) is worse.
On throws of 15+ yards, Lock has been on-target just 46.5% of the time. Only Wentz (43.4%) is worse.
Just 62% of Jerry Jeudy’s targets have been catchable, which is the third-lowest rate among the 65 WRs with at least 50 targets.
Detroit Lions
Marvin Jones is averaging 8.3 targets and 14.9 fantasy points per game without Kenny Golladay in the lineup.
With Golladay? Jones is averaging 4.6 targets and 8.9 FPG.
Green Bay Packers
Davante Adams has 16 targets inside of the 10-yard line, which leads the league.
This is already the most inside-10 targets a WR has seen in a season since 2015 when Allen Robinson had 18.
22 of Aaron Rodgers’ 36 TDs have come inside of the 10-yard line.
Houston Texans
Chad Hansen (47), Keke Coutee (42), and Brandin Cooks (41) led the Texans in routes run this past week.
Coutee led the team with 9 targets, Cook had 8, and Hansen had 7.
Cooks has now gone over 60 yards in 7-of-8 games since Bill O’Brien was fired.
Indianapolis Colts
Over his last two games, Jonathan Taylor has handled 42 touches while Nyheim Hines has 18 and Jordan Wilkins has 13.
This season, Taylor has averaged 4.7 YPC on his carries on 1st and 10 while Jordan Wilkins is at 3.5 YPC and Hines is at 4.0 YPC.
Jacksonville Jaguars
James Robinson’s opportunities (attempts + targets) since Week 7 when Chris Thompson got hurt: 28, 27, 19, 28, and 24.
Over the last four weeks, Robinson ranks second in routes run among RBs with 102 only behind J.D. McKissic (105).
Kansas City Chiefs
Over the Chiefs last five games, they’ve gone 70% pass-heavy.
In this span, Patrick Mahomes is averaging 383.2 yards and 3 TDs per game.
With KC going so pass-heavy, Travis Kelce has 42/613/3 on 56 targets while Tyreek Hill has 43/640/8 on 63 targets over their last five games.
In fact, Kelce has scored 121.3 fantasy points in this span — which is more than the TE6 Hunter Henry has scored all season long (117.7).
In 2018, Patrick Mahomes averaged 26.1 fantasy points per game. This year, he’s averaging 25.9 FPG.
Las Vegas Raiders
- Darren Waller’s 45 fantasy points in Week 13 ranks fifth-most by a tight end since the merger.
Los Angeles Chargers
The Chargers just became only the third home team to be shut out in a loss of 45 points or more. The last time it happened was 31 years ago.
Since the start of last season, the Chargers are now 9-16-3 against the spread.
Los Angeles Rams
Rams RB touches this past week: Cam Akers 22, Darrell Henderson 5, Malcolm Brown 4.
Akers ran 26 routes this past week. In his nine other games, Akers ran 33 routes combined.
Since coming out of their bye in Week 10, Akers has averaged 4.6 yards per carry and a 47% success rate while Henderson is at 3.6 YPC and a 32% success rate.
Miami Dolphins
DeVante Parker is averaging 5.7 receptions and 74.7 yards per game with Fitzmagic under center versus just 3.7 receptions and 38.2 yards per game with Tua.
Parker has failed to finish as a WR2 or better (top-24) in every game with Tua at QB.
In his first game action since Week 8, Myles Gaskin returned and played on 73% of Dolphins snaps and handled 21-of-25 carries.
Gaskin also got six carries inside of the 10-yard line, but failed to convert on any of them.
Gaskin has now finished as an RB2 or better (top-24) in six of his last 7 games.
Minnesota Vikings
Adam Thielen has 16 end-zone targets, which leads the NFL.
The next closest WR in end-zone targets is Calvin Ridley with 13.
Since being made a full-time starter in Week 3, Justin Jefferson is averaging a ridiculous 96.9 yards per game.
Odell Beckham owns the rookie record for most receiving yards per game with 108.8.
New England Patriots
New England has really slowed down their offense in recent weeks…
The Patriots are 56% run-heavy over their last four games, which is the third-highest rate in this span.
The Pats’ are running their offense at the seventh-slowest pace (29.2 seconds in between plays) over the last four weeks.
Cam Newton has been held under 20 pass attempts in 3-of-4 games in this span, all of which were wins.
New Orleans Saints
The Saints have gone 58% run-heavy with Taysom Hill under center, which is the second-highest rate over the last two weeks.
Hill’s weekly finishes as starter: QB3 > QB12 > QB5.
Over the last three weeks, Hill has handled 11 red-zone carries, while Latavius Murray has 8, and Alvin Kamara has 4.
Michael Thomas has seen a ridiculous 39% of Hill’s targets in his starts.
Kamara has an 8% target share with Hill.
With Brees, Kamara’s target share was 26%.
New York Giants
- Colt McCoy’s target distribution on his 32 attempts: Sterling Shepard (10), Evan Engram (9), Golden Tate (7), Darius Slayton (1).
New York Jets
- Over the last two years, Jamison Crowder is averaging 14.8 fantasy points per game with Sam Darnold under center and just 9.4 without him.
Philadelphia Eagles
Miles Sanders played on a season-low 56% of Eagles snaps last week.
Hilariously, Alshon Jeffery has out-snapped Travis Fulgham 37 to 35 over the last two weeks.
Jeffery has been targeted eight times this season. He’s turned those looks into two catches for 15 yards.
Zach Ertz only played on 44% of Eagles’ snaps last week in his return.
Pittsburgh Steelers
Diontae Johnson has now seen 10 or more targets in 8-of-9 games that he’s completed this season.
In his nine full games, Johnson is averaging 17.8 fantasy points per game. That would make him the WR8 over Calvin Ridley (17.5).
This is just something to keep note of, but the Steelers randomly cut Chase Claypool’s snaps this past week. He played on just 44% of the team’s snaps against Washington, marking his lowest rate since Week 2.
San Francisco 49ers
Raheem Mostert (56) and Jeff Wilson (53) have essentially split snaps right down the middle over the last two weeks.
Brandon Aiyuk’s weekly finishes over his last four games: WR19 > WR6 > WR13 > WR12.
In 14 career starts, Nick Mullens has completed 65% of his throws, averaged 8.1 yards per attempt, and has a 89.9 passer rating.
Over the last four years, Jimmy Garoppolo has completed 67.5% of his throws, averaged 8.3 YPA, and a 98.1 passer rating.
Seattle Seahawks
LetRussCook was fun while it lasted…
In their first six games, Seattle was 61% pass-heavy on first and second downs when the game was within a score. That was the second-highest rate in the league.
Over their last six, they are 54% pass-heavy on early downs in neutral situations, which ranks 14th.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Bye Last Week)
Tennessee Titans
Over the last two seasons, Derrick Henry has averaged 23.3 fantasy points per game in wins and just 13.3 FPG in losses.
Corey Davis has now cleared 60 yards or scored a touchdown in 7-of-8 games.
Washington
- J.D. McKissic played on 74% of Washington’s snaps last week, the second-highest clip of his season.
