CFB Draftkings Cash and Single Entry: September 18

Week 3 is here!

Saturday’s slate is filled with a ton of options leaving room for lots of variance in strategy in this slate. Is Garrett Wilson really priced under $7.0K again this week after he scored 28.7 FPs versus Oregon? Bryce Young is my favorite QB on this slate, but do we stack him with John Metchie or Jameson Williams? Adrian Martinez has been a great fantasy producer over the last 6 games. Can he continue that trend versus Oklahoma? Is it officially TreVeyon Henderson time?

Come find out…

Against the Spread Picks

Alabama (-14.5) vs Florida

Cincinnati (-4.0) vs Indiana

Wake Forest (-4.5) vs FSU

Total Wagers

Oklahoma vs Nebraska (Over 62.0)

Alabama vs Florida (Over 60.0)

Purdue vs Notre Dame (Over 58)

Quarterbacks

Bryce Young, Alabama vs Florida (DK: $9.2K | FD: $10.4K | O/U: 60.0 | Implied: 37.25)

Bryce Young has been as good as advertised through two games passing for 571 yards and 7 TDs with zero INTs. Young and this Alabama team face their first real competition of the year versus a Florida team surrendering 224.5 YPG through the air, ranking 79th nationally. Florida has been much better against the run allowing only 100.5 YPG and 2.58 YPC on the ground. In just two games, Florida has already given up 24 plays of 10-plus yards. Those two opponents were South Florida and Florida Atlantic, not exactly offensive powerhouses. Young is my favorite QB on this slate and is set up for a massive game versus Florida to kick off his Heisman campaign.

Adrian Martinez, Nebraska vs Oklahoma (DK: $7.3K | FD: $9.0K | O/U: 62.0 | Implied: 19.75)

Adrian Martinez is averaging 32 FPG over the first 3 games showing great explosiveness both through the air and on the ground. His scoring output in each contest has been incredibly consistent putting up 31.3, 32, and 32.7 FPs in those contests. Dating back to last year, his lowest scoring output over his last 6 games is 25.15 FPs, which would exceed value in this slate. Week 1 versus Oklahoma, Michael Pratt accumulated 36.2 FPs on 296 passing yards and 34 rushing yards with 4 TDs. Martinez is super enticing in this contest at $7.3K.

Sam Hartman, Wake Forest vs FSU (DK: $7.8K | FD: $8.9K | O/U: 62.5 | Implied: 33.5)

Sam Hartman is a pure matchup play, participating in the game with the highest total on the slate (62.5) with a 4.5-point spread. In addition to that, FSU is ranked 120th in PASS YPG (304) and 101st in FPG (28.6) allowed versus opposing QBs. FSU’s two opponents, Notre Dame and Jacksonville State, are far from offensive juggernauts. Hartman has a real opportunity to blow up in this game and hit value at $7.8K.

Alternatives:

Spencer Rattler, Oklahoma vs Nebraska (DK: $9.5K | FD: $10.8K | O/U: 62.0 | Implied: 42.25)

DJ Uiagalelei, Clemson vs Georgia Tech (DK: $8.8K | FD: $10.0K | O/U: 52.0 | Implied: 40.0)

Grayson McCall, Coastal Carolina vs Buffalo (DK: $8.3K | FD: NA | O/U: 57.5 | Implied: 35.75)

Jayden de Laura, Washington State vs USC (DK: $7.4K | FD: NA | O/U: 62.0 | Implied: 26.75)

Running Backs

TreVeyon Henderson, Ohio State vs Tulsa (DK: $5.2K | FD: $6.6K | O/U: 61.0 | Implied: 42.75)

TreVeyon Henderson is the official 1B to Miyan Williams’ 1A in the Ohio State backfield. After seeing less than 10 snaps in Week 1, Henderson’s snaps jumped to 38 versus Oregon. As notable, the Week 1 starter, Master Teague, did not play at all. Ohio State is favored by 24.5 with the highest implied team total on the slate at 42.75. This feels like a game where Henderson gets a lot of touches to see what he can do. He has looked great in the opportunities he has been given so far averaging 14.6 FPG. He is a great value at $5.2K, $2.3K cheaper than Miyan Williams.

Cam’Ron Harris, Miami vs Michigan State (DK: $5.4K | FD: $7.2K | O/U: 56.5 | Implied: 31.25)

Cam’Ron Harris is the last man standing in the Miami backfield after Don Chaney tore his ACL last week. The coaches had already stated their goal was to get one RB 20-25 rushing attempts per game. Now, they will be forced to do that. Last week, Harris had 19 touches while splitting reps with Chaney in the first half of the game. Michigan State allowed Northwestern to rush for 5.2 YPC in a blowout win in week one. Priced at only $5.4K, this feels like a great opportunity for Harris to hit value and for us to save money to target QBs and WRs.

Kevin Marks, Buffalo vs Coastal Carolina (DK: $6.0K | FD: NA | O/U: 57.5 | Implied: 21.75)

Kevin Marks is the focal point of a Buffalo offense that is averaging 44.5 carries per game. Last week in a blowout loss versus Nebraska, Marks still had 24 touches. Buffalo has an elite running attack and an OL that ranked 8th in the country last year in Line Yards (3.05). Marks rushed for 1000-plus yards in 2019 and 741 yards last year in only 7 games as the backup RB. He faces a Coastal Carolina DEF that has slipped a bit in 2021 particularly against the run giving up around 200 YPG. He is affordable with a possible low ownership percentage in this slate at $6.0K.

Alternatives:

Kenneth Walker, Michigan State vs Miami (DK: $7.1K | FD: $8.7K | O/U: 56.5 | Implied: 25.25)

Leddie Brown, West Virginia vs Virginia Tech (DK: $6.9K | FD: $10.0K | O/U: 50.5 | Implied: 26.5)

Eric Gray, Oklahoma vs Nebraska (DK: $5.2K | FD: $6.1K | O/U: 62.0 | Implied: 42.25)

Kobe Pace, Clemson vs Georgia Tech (DK: $4.8K | FD: $5.8K | O/U: 52.0 | Implied: 40.0)

$4.5K-or-less options:

Braydon Bennett, Coastal Carolina vs Buffalo, (DK: $3.8K | FD: NA | O/U: 57.5 | Implied: 35.75)

Receivers

Jameson Williams, Alabama vs Florida (DK: $6.7K | FD: $8.0K | O/U: 60.0 | Implied: 22.75)

Jameson Williams has been everything Alabama hoped he would be since transferring in from Ohio State. Through two games, he is leading the team in receiving yards and TDs. Functioning as a deep threat for Alabama’s explosive offense, Williams has an ADOT (average depth of target) of 20.2 yards. Like I mentioned above, Florida has given up 24 plays of 10-plus yards so there will be plenty of opportunities for Williams to hit a big play. I love the Young-Williams stack in this slate.

Garrett Wilson, Ohio State vs Tulsa (DK: $6.4K | FD: $8.8K | O/U: 61.0 | Implied: 42.75)

Garrett Wilson is still way underpriced at $6.4K considering Chris Olave is $8.1K. So far, Wilson, Olave, and Smith-Njigba have dominated the WR snaps and targets. In fact, Wilson has the 4th highest targets per game in the country at 12.5. Even in a game that should be a blowout, he is a lock in our lineup due to his high ownership percentage and scoring potential at his price point.

Calvin Jackson, Washington State vs USC (DK: $4.9K | FD: NA | O/U: 62.0 | Implied: 26.75)

Calvin Jackson is a slot WR in HC Nick Rolovich’s Run-N-Shoot offense. Meaning, he is one of the primary targets in this offense along with the other slot WR, Travell Harris. Through two games, Jackson has 10 catches for 168 yards and a TD on 13 targets. Last year in a blowout loss to USC, the two slot WRs for Washington State combined for 18 receptions, 150 yards and a TD. The USC PASS DEF is ranked 97th in YPG (271) including allowing San Jose State to throw for 308 yards in week one. After USC fired HC Clay Helton, this feels like a game Washington State could win. Jackson is averaging 16.4 FPG on DK, but is priced at only $4.9K allowing us to spend up on other options.

Mario Williams, Oklahoma vs Nebraska (DK: $4.1K | FD: $5.6K | O/U: 62.0 | Implied: 42.25)

Mario Williams’ price on DK finally went up this week from $3.0K. However, he is still only $4.1K while averaging 15.5 FPG on DK. Williams is leading all Oklahoma WRs in targets, receptions and TDs. Unlike Marvin Mims, Williams is a key part of Oklahoma’s red zone packages with both of his receiving TDs coming from within 10 yards of the end zone. I love Williams as our primary $4.5K-or-less option this week.

Alternatives:

David Bell, Purdue vs Notre Dame (DK: $7.7K | FD: $9.4K | O/U: 58.0 | Implied: 25.5)

Michael Mayer, Notre Dame vs Purdue (DK: $7.3K | FD: $8.5K | O/U: 58.0 | Implied: 32.5)

Jaquarii Roberson, Wake Forest vs FSU (DK: $6.8K | FD: $8.5K | O/U: 62.5 | Implied: 33.5)

Travell Harris, Washington State vs USC (DK: $5.5K | FD: NA | O/U: 62.0 | Implied: 26.75)

$4.5K-or-less options:

JoJo Earle, Alabama vs Florida (DK: $4.5K | FD: $5.0K | O/U: 60.0 | Implied: 22.75)

Keylon Stokes, Tulsa vs Ohio State (DK: $4.1K | FD: $6.0K | O/U: 61.0 | Implied: 18.25)